All that noise in the housing market?
It’s opportunity knocking.


The housing market has been making a lot of noise lately: conflicting opinions, contradictory facts, and plenty of negative hyperbole. The truth is, housing market conditions vary greatly by region. This site shares the other side of the story from local perspectives in real estate, personal finance, and economic forecasting, about what’s really happening in the Minneapolis-St. Paul housing market. You can also see what other recent homebuyers – and lookers - are saying on our blog and video posts. If you’re thinking of buying in Minneapolis-St. Paul, we invite you to participate, and get information to make the right choice for you.


Economic Trends in Minneapolis-St. Paul

Posted by jmnoonan, on September 16, 2007 06:36

Key economic indicators show that Minneapolis-St. Paul has a strong, diverse economy that is steadily growing. So instead of listening to “the experts” spread bad news about the Twin Cities real estate market, let’s look at what the data trends are actually telling us – that this real estate market is ripe with opportunity.

Our businesses are growing, and they span a wide variety of industries – from healthcare to financial services. Our population is on the rise. Unemployment rates are steady, and mortgage rates are still near 30-year lows. We rank in the top 10 among major metro areas in per capita income, workforce participation and housing affordability. We have more Fortune 500 companies per capita than any other city in the United States.

All of this is sweetened for the savvy homebuyer because it’s a buyer’s market and there is an abundant selection of homes around the metro area right now. As a potential buyer, the numbers for the Minneapolis-St. Paul economy add up in your favor and you have a unique opportunity to take advantage of the conditions in the real estate market to find your dream home.

Population and home values on the rise

Good jobs, renowned companies and better than average pay make it no wonder that the Minneapolis-St. Paul area is growing. The Metropolitan Council estimates that 2.82 million people lived in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area as of April 2006. Population has grown 6.8 percent since 2000, and six of the 13 counties in the metro area are among the 100 fastest growing counties nationwide. Prolonged growth – the Minneapolis-St. Paul area is on track to add nearly one million more people between 2000 and 2030 – means home values will continue to increase as more people vie for limited available land, keeping the real estate market active.

Home ownership rates in Minnesota are already some of the highest in the country. Between 1990 and 2006, the home ownership rate increased 11.9 percent in Minnesota. In 2006, the Twin Cities had the 10th highest ownership rate among the 75 largest metropolitan statistical areas. Home values in this real estate market generally appreciate between three and four percent each year, putting us on par with a 20-year trend.

The ample supply of homes in Minneapolis-St. Paul paired with still-low interest rates are making home buying more affordable than ever. Fixed rate mortgages peaked last July (at 6.67 percent) and have fallen back to a shade above 6 percent. For comparative purposes, only the period between fall 2002 and fall 2005 saw mortgage rates less than this amount. So, historically, mortgage rates are near 30-year lows.

More about the Minneapolis-St. Paul economy and real estate market in the next post.

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September 24. 2007 12:53

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Another indicator of the Twin Cities economic vitality and diversity -- the Star Tribune reports that as an area for business, the Twin Cities ranked Number 1 of major market citieson the basis of eight categories: numbers of Fortune 1000, Standard & Poor's 500, Russell 2000 and Forbes 400 companies per capita; small companies per capita; unemployment rate; population growth, and job growth.

The rankings did not factor in such things as taxes (though the study said the state's were high), quality of education (also high), work ethic (strong) and climate (sometimes humid, sometimes harsh -- although today's outlook is very nice). MarketWatch said it decided to look at data that show where businesses are and talked to interested parties about why.

Good news

October 5. 2007 08:26

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Why must you tell us that the twin cities is a great place to live and that now is the best time to buy a house - you wouldn't need to spew this propoganda if things were great. The truth is, things are not great and there is no rush to buy a house - you could lose a lot of money - houses continue to lose 10% of their value every few months while you folks keep talking about the great turn around - you have been talking about it for over a year....are you trying to "will" it to happen. :) I don't know where the bottom will be but I can tell you there is no rush to buy at the bottom cause houses will not appreciate for 5-10 years after the bottom because of the inventory available. If someone wants to debate this, please contact me. I want to meet with someone 6 months from now so I can show them house which have continued to decrease in value.

Mike Lembeck

Mike Lembeck

October 17. 2007 20:54

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If the housing market is to continue to rise and values increase due to population growth (1 million in the next 22 years) where will the people who can't get jobs and can't afford to buy these houses live? I would like to know where to find information on particular areas in the twin cities that are projected to get worse. I know this sounds funny, but I really think that the crime won't just go away but will move to certain areas. I certainly don't want to buy a house in one of these areas. Where can I find info on 1)pricing trends for neighborhoods, 2)crime rates for neighborhoods, 3)A survey or study on where the "bad apples" will go (to which neighborhoods)? Anyone know where I can locate this information?

Dan Towle

Dan Towle

November 9. 2007 04:35

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Dan,

Drive around town and I'm sure you will be able to identify which areas are currently bad. MLS searches, sorted by price, can also reveal the low-priced areas which are crime hotspots. What can be hard to project is which areas will be left as-is and which ones will be torn down and rebuilt a la the Rondo neighborhood.

I don't know if there is anything out there like what you are looking for. For the most part, the bad apples will go where they can get away with their activity. For example, St. Paul had a reputation during the Depression as being accommodating to gangsters, but later it became pretty well-known that Minneapolis was the place to get away with crime.

The easy answer used to be to move to the suburbs or the country. However, in the here-and-now the world has become a small place and you can find punks up to no good in any town. IMO buy a place in a decent area that you already know and keep your eyes open. I have been in my house for 10 years and the riff-raff used to hang out at the all-night gas station a mile away. Now I am seeing them at the bus stop a half mile away. I will be moving soon. Only you know what you will tolerate and how the area around you has changed in the last decade or two.

Good luck!

GhettoBanger

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December 3. 2008 16:12

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