All that noise in the housing market?
It’s opportunity knocking.


The housing market has been making a lot of noise lately: conflicting opinions, contradictory facts, and plenty of negative hyperbole. The truth is, housing market conditions vary greatly by region. This site shares the other side of the story from local perspectives in real estate, personal finance, and economic forecasting, about what’s really happening in the Minneapolis-St. Paul housing market. You can also see what other recent homebuyers – and lookers - are saying on our blog and video posts. If you’re thinking of buying in Minneapolis-St. Paul, we invite you to participate, and get information to make the right choice for you.


Minneapolis-St. Paul Housing Market Offers Great Selection

Posted by joshua, on September 21, 2007 03:17

With all the news reports about a housing market that’s oversaturated with homes, it’s understandable that some buyers may not appreciate the real opportunity laid out before them.

The Minneapolis-St. Paul housing market has seen both sides of the “supply and demand” coin in the past few years. The new century started out as a seller’s market, with buyers lining up to bid above and beyond the asking price. With today’s increased supply of housing and decreased near-term demand, those days are gone.

Today’s housing market is a buyer’s market. In August, the Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS® shows 9.6 months of inventory in the Twin Cities metropolitan area. The housing market is typically considered balanced if we have a 5 month supply, so there’s more to choose from; and a better chance of finding the home of your dreams today.

The current housing surplus we’re experiencing in the Twin Cities applies to every type of home: single-family homes in master planned neighborhoods, mixed-use communities, condominiums, townhomes and resales. For homebuyers, this means you have a great selection of homes to choose from: kid-in-a-candy-store levels of great.

To help eliminate the surplus and level out the housing market, home builders have significant motivation to sell you a home. This presents Minneapolis-St. Paul homebuyers with more reasons than ever to consider a new home. The quality of the home is better, the service is excellent and you will be a priority to the builder you are considering.

This unusual combination of circumstances means that now is an excellent time to buy in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area – while the pricing and timing are on your terms. But this housing market is a temporary one; with every home that is sold, your field of choices narrows. There’s no way to predict the day it will happen, but until that day comes, now is the ideal time to buy a home.

Once the surplus is gone so will much of the opportunity you have today. Wait too long, and that great deal you hoped for on the home of your dreams will be gone.

Indeed, builders will most likely raise prices because of increased demand and increased costs. Land costs, impact fees, materials prices, labor costs – they’re going nowhere but up.

The best way to take advantage of today’s Minneapolis-St. Paul housing market – a unique combination of a housing surplus, low interest rates and discount opportunities – is simply to buy now.

Builders and realtors are standing by.

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September 26. 2007 01:15

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Of course, all the negative comments make you rethink, and rethink but then I thought...how many times in the past have we said, " boy I could have bought that house for $$$$ and didn't. Am I sorry now." So it's finally a buyers market and it doesn't get better than that. So we bought!

Chris Forbes

October 6. 2007 19:17

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If I had listened to the National Realtor Association earlier this year, I would have paid $50,000 to much for a home I was looking at - the home has still not sold. The author of this post is seriously delusional - they keep saying it is a great time to buy but if you listen to them you will get into a house that may not recoop the price you paid for 10-20 years... Please be careful and look at history, not what some hopeful realtor is telling you..

Mike Lembeck

October 22. 2007 04:37

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Delusional?!? I just bought a house in St. Paul that is fantastic and I got it for the price that I wanted to spend. I am fortunate that I don't have to sell a home but after seeing the deal I got on the home I purchased, I don't think it would have been a problem. Check the history of property value appreciation...if you think that it will decline in value--or even stay the same in value--for 10-20 years YOU are the one that is delusional. How do those mushrooms in your back yard taste anyway?

Home Owner

October 24. 2007 16:45

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Don't miss out on the discussion going on here:

http://www.tchousingmarket.com/post/Housing-Prices-Just-One-of-the-Benefits-of-a-Buyer%E2%80%99s-Market.aspx

You were right, though. The reason you like the market is you were buying but not selling. This market isn't great for everyone, only half of everyone.

RogerS

October 25. 2007 17:32

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Home Owner:

The data at http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/census/historic/values.html shows that in unadjusted dollars, homes have appreciated more or less in 10-20 years. Note the two tables - one is adjusted for inflation, one is not. The table that is adjusted for inflation shows some periods of 10-20 years in which there was a loss or where prices held steady. So, it may be a matter of perspective or in accounting for inflation - not delusion.

Location also matters. My dad bought in '73 and sold in '89 at a 10K loss. Bad part of town, but it didn't start out that way.

I Like Facts

October 25. 2007 17:34

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P.S. - I noticed you bought in St. Paul. The house my dad sold at a loss was on the East Side. But you never know, some areas have been revitalized and seem to be holding up.

I Like Facts

October 27. 2007 16:01

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It does not take 10-20 years for a down market to turn around again. Usually it is 5-7 years, and homes don't lose value by much. If you bought a home 10 years ago for $150,000 it was probably worth about $225,000 in 2005. It is probably worth $205,000 now. It could lose a little more first (like $5,000-$10,000), but in a few more years start increasing again. In 10 more years it could be a $275,000+ house. The only bad idea is to sell in a down market and then rent. If you want to rent for whatever reason sell when the market is back up. If you sell and buy, your probably getting as good of a deal on your house as someone else did on yours. =

Jonah Waalen
Coldwell Banker Burnet
763-792-6418 ext.418

Jonah Waalen

October 27. 2007 22:12

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"It does not take 10-20 years for a down market to turn around again."

Did you look at the data at http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/census/historic/values.html ? There are lots of examples in the inflation-adjusted table where housing prices took a bath for 10-20 years. In the unadjusted table there are no losses I could see over a 10-20 year time period, but some places that barely gained, like Wyoming from 1980-90.

The historical price gains of residential real estate support your assertion that a 205K house bought today, declining to possibly 200K, would end up at 275K in 10 years. That would be a gain of approximately 4% per year.

I Like Facts

November 1. 2007 15:35

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Hey,

I am a new prospective buyer in the Minneapolis area and have not done much research yet. Does anyone know what most mortgage companies are requiring for downpayments? Also, what could i be expecting for a monthly mortgage payment on a $200,000 house?

any comments would be awesome.

Tony

November 9. 2007 15:41

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Tony,

Though you hear much about the credit "crisis", many lenders still have zero down programs available. Depending on how you structure your loan- or if a builder is offering incentives, such as paying your closing costs, you can do very well in the current environment! Payment on a 200K mortgage would depend on the program/product type. Program and product type determine interest rates, and therefore your monthly payment amount. There are a variety of mortgage calculator websites out there for you to run figures, bankrate.com as well as Countrywide.com to name a few. Hope this is helpful.

David

December 28. 2007 22:46

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The downtown Minneapolis market is still grossly inflated and I watch each week as foreclosures come on the market. For example condo's in downtown. Some buildings are loaded with units sticker priced in the 600,000 range and then when one comes on the market at quick sale it's market at like $360 and then it doesn't sell so it goes into foreclosure it's priced at $290,000, and then when it doesn't sell for a while the bank drops the price farther to the mid 2's, and sometimes that's not enticing enough and the bank puts it up at auction and it sells for $199,000. I'm not talking about ghetto neighborhoods either. I'm talking about nice neighborhoods. Problem is that some builders are remaining stubborn thinking that only a few thousand dollars decrease and then holding strong is going to entice todays buyers. They are incorrect. People have learned what the property is really worth and with an approx. 100% increase in value over the last 5 years, dropping the price 10-20 percent is still 70% too high. The foreclosure prices tell a closer truth but still, even then we all know the bank cares about their bottom dollar too. Even at the sharply decreased foreclosure price we all know the bank is still turning a decent profit, thats what they are in the biz of doing. So looking at a property valued at $600,000 that drops to $250 and then auction at $199,000 really sheds some light on how grossly inflated our housing market is. Another example is look at St. Louis Park house prices. These houses are little cracker jack boxes from the 20's and 30's with less than 1800 sq ft with asking prices in the high 300's. A house that old and that small should be decreasing in value =P, not increasing. Who wants a leave it to beaver house with no curb appeal and tiny rooms anyway. Those houses are just problems waiting to happen for a new owner. No wonder the seller wants to get the heck out of em. The overall problem with the housing market nation wide is that if someone selling their house wants to buy a different house they must sell it for a high inflated price in order to purchase the other house at a high inflated price otherwise they will not be able to afford something equal or greater to what they currently are trying to sell. It's greed for necessity. What a mess. I think the real turnaround can only begin to occur when the builders of new condos and housing communities make the drastic price reduction "back to normal prices" because then the option is buy new at a normal price or buy old at an inflated price. The choice there is easy. Then the people trying to sell an old peice of property will have to drop to compete with the builders.

Jason S.

May 1. 2008 05:48

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It's true, we are in the middle of a debt "crisis", some people have become addicted to credits. It's also true that we have plenty financial options and solutions today, the only problem we may have is that we don't know who to trust for solving our financial issues.

Credit card debt

June 10. 2008 13:06

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I do not think there is a home owner out there that should be angry about the way the housing market has shifted. Our homes have been increasing in value by 10%-20% a year for many years, so much we began to abuse our credit and equity.

That being said, forget about the past couple years you may have lost a small amount of equity in your home, and just be gratefull you have gained as much equity as you have in the past. The majority who are guilty of not realizing this are the ones who have taken advantage of the ability to leverage their homes to the max...living the real american dream...now putting the blame elsewhere.

If you are one who has taken advantage of your equity and credit by leveraging your home to where it is uncomfortable, well I guess you should have been a little better educated.

Jonn L.

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September 6. 2008 13:24

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