The no-nonsense facts about home-buying in the Minneapolis-St. Paul market:
- The housing market is not trapped in an endless spiral.
- Like any other market, the housing market has peaks and valleys, and will fluctuate based on supply and demand.
- When the supply is low and demand is high, like it had been from 1998-2005, home prices rise.
- During this period, prices rose 9-12% nationally.
- In Minneapolis-St. Paul, it averaged a 9% increase per year.
- Now that the rate of home-buying has dropped, and supply has increased, resale prices are softening, especially from motivated sellers.
- Motivations vary: a new job, marriage, child, divorce, death etc.
- Prices for new construction have remained steadier, as no company can stay in business if they sell their product at a lower price than it costs to make it.
- There's only some room for price reductions and mostly in speculative housing that was started when the demand was high.
- Minneapolis-St. Paul builders have cut production to better match slower home-buying demand, so incentives offered today will soon end.
- Bottom line: if your home-buying strategy is to wait and buy at the bottom, like the stock market, it's tricky and not worth the gamble.
- The mortgage market is not in crisis.
- In the heyday of the most recent seller's market, some lenders created unique – and more exotic – financing packages.
- These subprime mortgages comprised only 10% of the total mortgage market.
- Of those mortgages, only 5% resulted in foreclosure.
- Then as now, plenty of mortgage options exist for homebuyers with good credit and a steady income.
- Real estate is one of the best long-term investments you can make.
- This home-buying market is not for short-term investors.
- Owning a home helps you build up the financial resources you'll need to acquire your next home.
- Compared to the stock market, which averages a 6% return, home ownership averages a 12% return over 10 years.
- Unlike other housing markets, where investors bought up much of the available inventory of homes only to turn them around and put them back on the market quickly, Twin Cities homebuyers invest for the long-term.
- Homeownership in the Minneapolis-St. Paul averages 7 years.
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